The Kenyan media has now reported that Uhuru Kenyatta has announced that he is not in a hurry to occupy state house. Being the Opposition leader, this means he is giving way to President Kibaki to get the second term.
Observers see this as a very intelligent move by Uhuru who is still seen as one of the ODM-K presidential aspirants opposed to Kibaki.
When we now look at things as they are, Uhuru pulling out of ODM-K soon, means those remaining are in ODM-K are actually LDP men only namely; Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka.
William Ruto is not winning and this is a Kanu man anyway. If he thinks he is going to move to state house this time, then his is a theoretical dream. It is difficult for him to climb at this time. The best for him is to strengthen Uhuru’s Kanu faction and ensure that he gets a parliamentary seat, otherwise he may find himself in the cold.
Musalia Mudavadi, Najib Balala and the other ODM-K presidential aspirants are no threat to President Kibaki. So the voters had better not waste time even considering their interest.
Now what will remain for the voters to choose from are the two LDP men Raila Odinga and Kalonzo Musyoka, both now bottled in ODM-Kenya and President Kibaki who will wave the Narc-Kenya flag.
So the next elections is in actual sense between Narc-Kenya, LDP, Kanu one of Uhuru, Kanu 2 of Biwott and other smaller parties
If LDP continues to call itself ODM-Kenya, then their members will have to make their mind between Raila and Kalonzo – they have to look at which one of them has the ability to defeat Kibaki. They have to look at their track record.
Both men were in Kanu. Later on they jumped to LDP and ODM-K. Now they plan a long jump into state house. It is only one of them who will meet Kibaki at the polls.
What will be tricky is how Uhuru of Kanu faction and Nicolas Biwott’s other Kanu fraction decide to proceed.
Uhuru will not let Raila go to state house. Neither will Biwott. So Kanu will want to fight it alone and if they do not succeed, it is definite that they will decide to be in a coalition government with Kibaki if Kibaki does not get the majority to make him rule alone.
When ODM-K remaining group – or call them the two LDP men – Raila and Kalonzo turn to their members one of them will become victorious. Raila or Kalonzo.
Kalonzo has more experience than Raila when it comes to foreign policy. He has served for many years in government than Raila.
But will that count when ODM-K members are choosing their man? We wait and see. It is not the media that decides but the voters!
The Kenyan politics is now beginning to be very interesting to watch.
By Korir, African Press in Norway, apn, email@example.com tel +47 932 99 739 or +47 6300 2525 source.standard.ke