Story by MACHARIA GAITHO
Publication Date: 8/30/2007
Soon after former President Daniel arap Moi announced his decision to back President Kibakis re-election, Kanu chairman Uhuru Kenyatta released a carefully worded statement in response to speculation over what role the party was playing in the new development.
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| Mr Uhuru Kenyatta. Photo/FILE |
The statement, however, gave no hint of where Kanu, or Mr Kenyatta, stood on the matter. It said the decision-making organs of the party had not met to discuss the matter, and that when they would meet, the decision taken would be communicated to Kenyans.
The statement otherwise pointed out that Mr Moi, as citizen was, entitled to his own opinions and had the democratic right to support a candidate of his choice.
It started with the words, it has reached our attention, which deciphered, meant that Mr Kenyatta, the Kanu chairman and Official Opposition leader, had no prior knowledge that his predecessor in the party leadership would be declaring his support for President Kibaki.
Follow the path
And without saying so in exact words, the rest of the statement was trying to make the point that Mr Moi was making an individual decision that was not binding on Kanu. But then what might be the most important thing to be read in Mr Kenyattas statement is on what it did not say it neither endorsed nor repudiated Mr Mois position, leaving open the possibility once the party organs meet, Kanu could officially follow the path set by its former leader.
Notable in the statement also was the assertion Kanu has always stated that it is ready to engage like-minded parties and consultations were ongoing.
What the statement revealed is Mr Kenyatta was caught somewhere between a rock and a hard place. The Kanu chairman cannot have been completely in the dark. Even assuming he had not been kept fully informed, he is sharp enough to have deciphered over the last few weeks that Mr Moi was leaning towards coming out in open support of President Kibaki.
Political events have moved at a dizzying pace for Mr Kenyatta this year. It was only six months ago that after a lot of resistance, he eventually gave way and joined his secretary-general William Ruto in agreeing to move Kanu into ODM.
In the process, he defied Mr Moi who was always dead set against such an alliance and had made clear his anger at Mr Rutos promotion of ODM and links with Mr Raila Odinga.
Once in ODM, Mr Kenyatta came to be counted among the so-called luminaries aiming for the party presidential ticket.
The decision precipitated a crisis in the party.
A splinter group led by Mr Nicholas Biwott, who had failed in his bid for the Kanu chairmanship and linked up with another outfit called New Kanu (a party registered by Kamlesh Pattni lawyer Mugambi Imanyara, who also registered the ODM Party of Kenya recently handed over to Mr Odinga) found new impetus, and with Mr Mois backing, called a factional Special Delegates Conference that purported to sack Mr Kenyatta and other officials on grounds they had deserted the party for ODM. As if on cue, the Government moved speedily to register the Biwott faction as the Kanu official office bearers.
It took a protracted case filed by Mr Kenyatta for the courts to rule that registration of the Biwott team was irregular. But by then, Mr Kenyatta had already had second thoughts about ODM and soon afterwards pulled Kanu out, pleading that the agreement reached earlier in the year about corporate membership had been breached.
Mr Ruto and vice-chairmen Henry Kosgey and Chris Okemo were however firmly committed.
Mr Kenyattas renunciation of ODM put him back into Mr Mois good books. It also provided the former president with an opportunity to reconcile the Kenyatta and Biwott factions.
The key item in Kanu agenda became to assert the partys independence, work towards regaining ground lost to ODM, particularly in the Rift Valley strongholds, and to expel Mr Ruto and others who are accused of mixed loyalties.
But there was also the issue of presidential candidacy. For while now, Mr Kenyatta has been aware that his candidacy would be of no more than nuisance value if he stood against President Kibaki.
Kiambu region
In the 2002 presidential elections, Mr Kenyatta got a decent 300,000 votes in Central Province compared to President Kibakis 700,000. Most of Mr Kenyattas votes in the province came from the Kiambu region, where he captured the Gatundu South seat and also pulled in a good number of legislators including Mr Njenga Karume (Kiambaa), Mr Kuria Kanyingi (Limuru), Mr Arthur Magugu (Githunguri), Mr James Viscount Kimathi (Lari) and Mr Patrick Muiruri (Gatundu North).
But almost as soon as the new government was in place, and Mr Kenyattas political base dissipated, with all the central Kenya MPs swiftly reading the mood of their people and crossing over to President Kibakis side.
Then there was the giant Rift Valley where Mr Kenyatta got an impressive 770,000 votes to President Kibakis 625,000. That, strictly speaking, was not a Kenyatta bloc but the vote of the traditional Kanu heartland then commanded by Mr Moi. The Official Opposition leader, in the politics of today, cannot offer a serious challenge for the presidency. The Kanu voters he won in the Rift Valley five years ago will be looking for a candidate who can better represent their interests. The votes he got in central Kenya and the larger diaspora are now firmly in President Kibakis grip.
And if he stood up against the President, Mr Kenyatta faces the mortal risk of being seen in his own constituency as a traitor, and thus being denied even a return to Parliament.
Even before Mr Moi made his decision on Monday, Mr Kenyatta would have been assessing his prospects, and returning to Parliament would have featured higher on the list of priorities than a presidential bid.
Mr Kenyattas dilemma, thus, has been how he can secure Gatundu South, which might well mean seeking a truce with President Kibaki while maintaining Kanu as a viable political force.
If Mr Kenyatta wants to bid time for 2012, he has to work towards endearing himself to central Kenya bloc that is the bedrock of the Kibaki presidency.
Although it might seem that Mr Mois decision to endorse President Kibaki reduces Mr Kenyatta to irrelevance, it might also have provided him a lifeline.
Lifted and published by Korir, API*APN africanpress@chello.no tel +47 932 99 739 or +47 6300 2525 source.nation.ke

