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Archive for April 15th, 2010

KYRGYZSTAN: Civil war fears

Posted by African Press International on April 15, 2010


Photo: Gulnara Mambetalieva/IRIN
Protesters outside the office of the governor in Talas

BISHKEK, 15 April 2010 (IRIN) – Residents in the Kyrgyz capital, Bishkek, and some analysts say the threat of civil war is looming in the Central Asian country after thousands of protesters forced the government to resign and President Kurmanbek Bakiev to flee the capital.

Galina Vlasenko, a Bishkek resident, told IRIN she feared the beginning of a civil war. “They showed on TV how Kurmanbek Bakiev said at a demonstration in Jalal-Abad [capital of a southern province with the same name] that if there is an attempt to detain him he won’t surrender and will use weapons. We are all afraid because there might be bloodshed and then civil war,” she said.

Amatova Sonunbu, 48, from Jalal-Abad Province, said she heard that his supporters were trying to organize a demonstration and gather people from the provincial capital and nearby villages. “I am afraid that there might be a split between the north and south of the country,” she said.

Anarbek Jusupov from the northern town of Karabalta hopes a civil war does not happen. “So many young people were killed. I think the opposing sides will have enough wisdom, will and patience to find a compromise,” Jusupov said.

On 13 April Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Kyrgyzstan might plunge into civil war and become a “second Afghanistan”.

Bishkek-based analysts say the threat of violence and civil war is real since Bakiev has not left the country and did not resign.

“There is a threat of destabilization in the country and one of the possible scenarios is civil war,” Kadyr Malikov, head of the independent Religion, Law and Politics analytical centre, told IRIN.

“The interim government should urgently make a decision regarding Bakiev’s status. While people are demanding justice for the killing of unarmed protestors, they [the interim government] must think about creating a corridor so Bakiev can leave the country. But that [departure of Bakiev] might mean the end of the interim government; people wouldn’t agree with that,” he said.

North-south rivalry


Photo: Gulnara Mambetalieva/IRIN

(Former Kyrgyz Interior Minister Moldomusa Kongantiev was beaten up by protesters in Talas)

Currently, the south of the country and particularly people in Jalal-Abad Province are taking a passive stance, said Malikov.

“Bakiev is from a local ‘Teyit’ tribe and according to tribal traditions it is a shame for the whole tribe not to protect someone from the tribe,” he said.

Politics in Kyrgyzstan is based on clans and there has been a historic rivalry between the north and the south and the clans that represent them.

Kyrgyzstan’s first president, Askar Akaev, who ruled the country for more than a decade until he was ousted in public protests in 2005, represented the north. At the time leaders of southern elites suggested it was the south’s turn to have the top job.

Bakiev’s supporters may try to use the north-south rivalry to gain support. “Therefore, as long as Bakiev is in Kyrgyzstan we can’t talk about stability,” Malikov said.

Marat Kazakbaev, another local analyst, thinks civil war is a possibility. “However, the risk is not huge,” he said.

“President Bakiev does not have [many] supporters apart his relatives and people from his ancestral village in Jalal-Abad whose number is probably around 2,000 people. He does not have country-wide support. People will not forgive the deaths in front of the Government Building [in Bishkek], the beatings and shooting at people by security forces in Talas and Naryn,” he said.

He said there were two options: Bakiev should leave the country or be brought to trial.

Political scientist Alexander Kniazev does not exclude the possibility of a civil war, but said there was a low probability of this happening “because ex-president Bakiev does not command strong country-wide support.”

Economic factors

''You need to give people jobs and keep their stomachs full. Otherwise, if they are hungry and angry this is what happens.''

Mirlan, 25, from Osh, the country’s second largest city which is in the south and was considered one of the centres of Bakiev’s powerbase, said he did not support Bakiev.

“I was not happy with his government’s policy and decisions to increase the tariffs on electricity. For example, my electricity bill in December was 1,200 soms [US$27]. In January, after the rise, I paid 2,500 soms [$56], and 2,600 soms [$58] in February. It has more than doubled. I am doing kind of OK as I have a small workshop. But what about those who don’t have jobs or are pensioners? It was a real blow to them,” he said.

“The price of petrol increased by at least 25 percent and other things went up by a similar amount. Would you be happy if you faced such things? They say that the president’s younger son controls all major businesses in the country.”

A local businessman who preferred anonymity said the regime went too far. “You need to give people jobs and keep their stomachs full. Otherwise, if they are hungry and angry this is what happens,” he said.

According to the World Bank, Kyrgystan’s annual gross national income per capita was $780 in 2008.

The National Statistics Committee of Kyrgyzstan said in an 8 April update on major socio-economic indicators that the average monthly salary in the government sector was about $135.

gm/at/cb source.irinnews

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The new Constitution and the Land Question in Kenya

Posted by African Press International on April 15, 2010

By George Nyongesa

In an open society, the constitution-making process is normally characterised by active participation of all and sundry sections of the society. Understood against this background, conflicting views on a draft constitution can be deemed healthy and tolerable. However, the ongoing conflict on draft constitution is anything but a healthy debate, and I being almost as old as the struggle for change in this country, I am persuaded that we need to get done with matters constitution so as to shift national building energies to other agendas.

The antagonism that the draft constitution is receiving from the circles of the likes of former President Daniel Moi, his political offspring as well as a section of church leaders is an incoherent, ill-informed and out-of-tune soliloquy of misguided passions. Interestingly, this antipathetic camp constitutes factions that have separate interests but a common enemy – the impending liberation of the people of Kenya whom they would prefer be detained in the old order.

Moi a leading luminary of status quo

My assertion is, among others, guided by the fact that the luminaries of the No camp were benefactors of the past regimes’ evils and in the two-decade-old push for a new constitution they were never a party to the struggle for new order. Secondly, on a proper analysis in the context of Kenyan politics one would easily conclude that as in the past, this clique offers no constructive solution for change but only destructive confusion characteristic with status quo. Thirdly, I am persuaded, as are many others, that former President Moi stance is just but the ears of a hippopotamus of the status quo beneficiaries and the stubborn position of this strange union has but one goal – to bog down the forward match to a new constitutional order by playing on the emotive issues of Kadhis courts and abortion. I find the no camp insincere in so far as they are aware of the constitutional dilemma we are in, even as they demand renegotiation on some clauses of the draft constitution yet by law there is almost zero option to amend the draft constitution. I am also cynical about these naysayers because they speak in broken text of what makes a good constitution but have perfected with poetic eloquence propaganda and scare tactics against the draft constitution, all in an effort to win followership. I am also persuaded against the no crusaders by the fact that senior celebrities in that camp, such as former President Moi, had all of a 24 year chance to guide Kenyans towards a new constitutional dispensation but chose to preside over his predecessor President Jomo Kenyatta’s initiated retrogressive amendments to the constitution that spiralled our country into the authoritarian state that has had its dark climax characterized by politically instigated political assassinations, corruption, massive land grabbing, gross human rights abuse and utter poverty.

Why I am voting yes to the draft constitution

A distinct mark of a great constitution is one that gives power to the people, protects its citizens’ rights and most importantly, contains an amendment clause to deal with socio-political dynamics and with matters that may have been missed out. The current draft constitution, like other constitutions that have ever existed all over the world is not the best. However, judged against the obtaining constitution and the abovementioned standards it is a better constitution in so far as it has brought us so much closer to a semblance of power to the people, equitable resource distribution, the principle of separation of power and the protection of citizens’ rights. Considering the difficult 20 year journey, I find this draft constitution a welcome rest break but not the ultimate destination. This is rightly so because a constitution is never meant to be static but a living document that grows with the needs and demands of the society it serves.

In my perspective, this draft constitution once legitimized through the referendum process, shall afford Kenyans the opportunity for the first, second, third and so forth amendments in so far as majority are persuaded. This is my firm foundation for yes vote to the draft constitution and my progressive prejudice against any no vote on the draft constitution. It is my persuasion that those drumming up support for a no vote are not doing it for the common good but are just the lords and beneficiaries of a dying order whose reflexive moves are based on a fear of unknown likely to result from the evolutionary changes that are taking place.

In my reading of the text of draft constitution, one of the near radical departures from the current constitution that it makes is that it begins to address the question of land acquisition, distribution, allocation and ownership. What we must never hide from is that the land question is the bedrock and cauldron of most of the social crises this country has faced and continues to face, including post election violence and its aftermath. Land was the petrol that fuelled simmering passions and set this country ablaze following the debacle of the last general election. Land remains the biggest social problem that has claimed the most lives, dating from colonial times through Kenyatta and Moi rulership and now in Kibaki’s hegemony.  A close observation of the new constitution’s detractors would expose that that faction is largely made up of large land owners who would not want to be held accountable on how much land do they own, how they got it and what they are doing with it. Those are the elements that have been protesting that the draft constitution will make land ownership regimes socialist as opposed to capitalist. This is simply because the draft constitution proposes a land commission and also has dealt away with 999 year land lease.

Is nationalization of land a panacea?

These elements that are scared of land reforms must wake up to the reality that land is a natural resource and that makes it an inheritance for all Kenyans as long as there is still some land to go round. It is self-evident truth that it is immoral and unjust for any one person or family to own thousands of hectares of land and yet a majority of Kenyans do not have even a six by six space for their burial rites. Therefore, owners of large tracts of land are under notice that the problem of land in this country is no longer a rhetorical issue and while it seems you are scared of this piece-meal land reforms I am of the opinion that we should explore nationalisation of land.

I am persuaded towards nationalization of land, first as redistributive approach on land injustice and more so to secure socio-economic rights such as right to food, right to shelter and right to income for all Kenyans. In this regard, I find it important that the State possess adequate land to develop programmes and projects to ensure that its citizens are not food and shelter insecure. To solve the perennial food insecurity Kenyans face year in year out the State should own farms where it grows food for the commonwealth. Similarly, the housing problem can be solved by the State having land where it puts up houses and sells or lets these to the citizens at subsidized rates.

In matters of real politik I find no justification why any Kenyan who wants to own a piece on which to erect a structure for their shelter or grow some millet for his family should be denied that right to satisfy someone’s greed of owning large tracts of land. I do not buy into the elites’ dictates that ordinary Kenyans should shift their income generation activities from land reliance because Kenya is a land-based economy and it is no secret that those who are rich are as a result of the loans they access on the title deeds.

Message to the grassroots

Therefore, Kenyans must be distrustful of the self-serving anti-draft constitution camp and especially since the issues that they seem to be shouting really loud about are only being used for expedience because of their emotive effect. The naysayers’ real problem is that the status quo is being shaken and they are fear struck over what will happen to the house that they built on quicksand. We should not allow these elements to break our forward march to the dawn of a new constitution. The options they are giving us for voting no leaves us with the current constitution which continues to serve this selfish cartel very well. If there is any chance that the incumbent constitution can be amended as it has been done before, let us not forget that even the new constitution has an amendment clause. So the outstanding issues should not be made out to look as though they are irreconcilable but be seen as issues that we as a nation can address after we have given ourselves the new constitution. You must participate in the referendum and vote wisely!

End

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Kenya shady politicking: Leaving the country fearing for his life, but why does the wife say he will travel back?

Posted by African Press International on April 15, 2010

 

Kaunya leaves for Germany

Nyanza Central deputy Provincial Commissioner Oku Kaunya left for  Germany after receiving death threats in March. Photo/FILE

Nyanza Central deputy Provincial Commissioner Oku Kaunya has left for Germany after receiving death threats in March. Photo/FILE

By HENRY ANDANJE  and DOMINIC WABALA
Posted Wednesday, April 14 2010 at 22:30

 

A deputy provincial commissioner has left the country after receiving death threats from unknown people last month.

A close confidante of Nyanza Central deputy Provincial Commissioner Oku Kaunya said he flew out of the country on Saturday after he attempted to meet a senior government official without success.

However, his wife, Millicent Kaunya said her husband was out of the country with the government’s knowledge.

Mrs Kaunya said he has been feeling unwell and travelled to Germany for treatment. She said he would also visit his daughter in the US and will be home in three weeks.

“He travelled to Germany on Saturday. He obtained an official letter authorising him to travel, a copy of which I have,” Mrs Kaunya said. She said he was still on leave.

An official in the Provincial Administration and Internal Security ministry on Wednesday said only PS Francis Kimemia authorises travel for such senior civil servants.

The PS could not be reached on Wednesday evening. Mr Kaunya is a former commandant of the Administration Police Training College in Embakasi which, according to the Waki report, was a central cog in the chain of events leading to the post-election violence that claimed more than 1,000 lives and displaced 500,000 others.

The report said 1,600 officers were sent to the college for “special training” so that they could act as election agents for PNU. “All officers deployed were dressed in plain clothes, easily identified as they were not from the local community and travelled in large groups by more than 30 chartered buses,” the report said.

“In addition, they received Sh21,000 each for their duties. The entire exercise was called off after some officers were killed and many more injured by citizens.”

Relatives at his Kakemer village in Teso North District told Nation Mr Kaunya left the country last week on official leave. A relative who spoke on condition that he is not named said Mr Kaunya extended his leave after going into hiding following alleged threats to his life.

Mr Kaunya was last month reported to have gone into hiding but later resurfaced in Kakamega Town, saying he had gone to visit a friend in Vihiga.

 

source.nation.ke

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